Intercept probability measures which of the following?

• A. The chance the target is destroyed after contact.
• B. The chance the interceptor meets the target.
• C. The chance weather affects radar.
• D. The chance of false contacts.

Answer: (B)

Intercept probability is the likelihood that the interceptor actually meets the target in the engagement geometry. It captures how often the guidance, timing, and maneuvering bring the two platforms into the same space at the same time so an engagement can occur. It does not by itself mean the target is destroyed—that depends on kill probability after a successful intercept. Weather or radar issues can affect detection and tracking and thus influence the chance of a meeting, but the intercept probability specifically measures the event of the interceptor meeting the target. False contacts are incorrect detections and do not constitute a real intercept.